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Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday

1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 8% 12% 13% 13% 14% 18% 19% 24% 25% 28% 35% 38% 43% 45% 46% 47% 49% 52% 53% 61% 72% 84% 95% 97% 98% 98% SEC: 4.13
B10: 2.88
B12: 1.74
ACC: 1.41
G5: 1.81