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Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday

1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 10% 12% 12% 18% 18% 19% 20% 20% 21% 21% 22% 25% 26% 27% 27% 27% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 32% 36% 42% 45% 47% 49% 52% 52% 60% 74% 75% 77% SEC: 3.73
B10: 3.29
B12: 1.80
ACC: 1.77
G5: 1.33