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Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday

1% 1% 3% 3% 3% 5% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 14% 19% 20% 22% 24% 24% 26% 30% 33% 34% 47% 47% 52% 62% 66% 70% 82% 84% 90% 91% 99% 100% SEC: 3.60
B10: 2.83
B12: 1.41
ACC: 2.40
G5: 1.74