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Playoff Predictor for the 2022 college football season

Predicted Rankings

Predicted committee top 4:

First predicted committee top 4 of the season will be available after the first committee poll is released (November 1st, 2022)

Computer top 4:

True computer ratings (full list)

updated daily and constantly throughout the day on Saturdays as games go final.

True ratings are computed by a variant of the Colley Matrix method

Who's in? Come here to find out first!

Know the 2022 college football playoff positioning at all times

PlayoffPredictor.com uses a combination of a mathematical computer based formula plus a calculated playoff committee bias in order to rank all top 25 teams. This top 25 list is a prediction of what the selection committee's top 25 rankings will be that are released on Tuesday nights. The top 25 rankings is not my opinion of the teams rankings, rather it is a prediction on what the committe will do.

Additionally, using the menu at the top you can predict the future rankings the committee will give each team by filling out who the winners and losers of each game will be.

Try it yourself now! Select the next week's game winners and determine what the Computer Rankings poll will look like now

Average Committee Bias --
What's this?
Committee Bias
The bias indicates the level of agreement between the PlayoffPredictor's computer ranking and the committee ranking of a given team.

If a team has a high positive bias, the committee is ranking a team higher than the computer. If a team has a high negative bias, the computer is ranking that team higher than the committee. If the bias is zero then the commitee and computer agree on the ranking for that team.

Heavily over-ranked teams
LSU 0.0423
Washington 0.0354
North Carolina 0.0311
Notre Dame 0.031
Computer and playoff committee agreement
USC 0.0291
Clemson 0.0286
TCU 0.0266
South Carolina 0.0217
Kentucky 0.021
Cincinnati 0.02
Utah 0.0177
Tulane 0.0138
Oregon 0.0075
Illinois 0.0074
UCLA 0.007
NC State 0.0066
Oklahoma State 0.0055
Michigan 0.0035
UCF 0.002
Ole Miss 0.0006
Louisville -0.0009
Florida -0.0019
Kansas -0.0023
South Alabama -0.0029
UTSA -0.0032
Syracuse -0.0042
Wake Forest -0.0057
Georgia -0.0089
Troy -0.0125
Ohio State -0.0133
Mississippi State -0.0221
Penn State -0.0247
Heavily under-ranked teams
Alabama -0.0419
Tennessee -0.0493
Oregon State -0.0531
Texas -0.0884
Florida State -0.1043
Kansas State -0.1555

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