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Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday

1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11% 12% 14% 16% 16% 18% 19% 20% 21% 22% 23% 24% 24% 25% 25% 26% 26% 26% 26% 27% 31% 36% 37% 38% 41% 45% 50% 52% 56% 56% 58% 65% 77% SEC: 3.43
B10: 3.27
B12: 1.11
ACC: 1.77
G5: 2.36