Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

4%

4%

4%

5%

5%

6%

7%

9%

11%

13%

14%

17%

17%

18%

23%

28%

28%

28%

34%

37%

50%

54%

61%

64%

83%

89%

90%

90%

93%

94%

97%

SEC: 4.20

B10: 3.06

B12: 1.52

ACC: 1.23

G5: 1.93