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Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday

1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 5% 5% 7% 8% 10% 10% 11% 13% 14% 19% 20% 21% 26% 28% 29% 31% 35% 37% 42% 43% 44% 45% 47% 56% 59% 74% 78% 86% 91% 93% 97% SEC: 3.89
B10: 3.49
B12: 1.46
ACC: 1.72
G5: 1.43