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Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday

1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 8% 12% 16% 17% 17% 18% 18% 19% 20% 20% 20% 21% 25% 25% 28% 28% 28% 31% 31% 32% 33% 37% 38% 39% 41% 47% 47% 48% 51% 54% 57% 73% 78% 78% SEC: 3.80
B10: 3.06
B12: 1.88
ACC: 1.92
G5: 1.27